International transactions are growing as a result of
globalisation and interdependence of countries however at the same time the
market itself have become increasingly more volatile due to major international
imbalances. The Asian crisis in 1997 is looking to be repeated and Russia is in
financial crisis due to the events in Ukraine with the trouble causing their currency to fall to a
historic low against the dollar on the 03/03/2014.
The increase in global trade is only part if the reason that foreign exchange transactions have increased considerably with one of the main contributors is the need for investors and multinational firms seeking to tap these new markets to get the best returns and access funds or decrease the costs of borrowings.
This is evidence that companies that wish to conduct
international trade must accept exposure to the risks associated with changes
in currency. There are different exposures that companies wishing to do so are
open too:
-
Transaction exposure
-
Translation exposure
-
Economic exposure
Translation exposure is created when the company has either
the commitment or intention of receiving foreign currency or paying monies in a
foreign currency. The risk with this exposure is that the cash income in the
domestic currency will be lower than expected or the cash payments will be
higher. This could potentially cause losses that have a significant impact on
net profit for a company.
Translation exposure occurs because of the requirement for
companies to produce consolidated accounts and translate the financial position
of foreign subsidiaries back to the currency of the parent company. This
exposure doesn’t reflect a cash loss as translation exposure does but does have
an effect on the reported profits and balance sheet values.
Economic exposure risks occur when the trading position of
the business is at risk to adverse changes in the short or long term movements
of exchange rates. This can undermine
the firm’s competitive position both directly and indirectly. Direct impact is
when company’s expected future receipts and payments are in the foreign
currency and have not yet been made or when firm’s home currency strengthens
and so its products are more expensive when compared to competitors, affecting
the sales of it. Indirect impact is when a business is exposed to long term
risks because of adverse developments in the country it is based in, resulting
in exchange rate movements that benefit foreign competitors.
Companies and try and manage the exposures and risks with
international transactions by hedging. There are several forms of hedging that
they may adopt and can be both internal and external.
-
Invoicing the customers in their home currency
-
Netting – subsidiaries of multinational
organisations can trade with each other to reduce the amount of currency that
is at transaction exposure risk
-
Matching both the inflows and outflows in the
different currencies caused by trade
-
Leading or lagging – speed up or delay payments
-
Increase productivity and reducing costs
-
Forward market hedge (includes wide range of currencies) or
futures (includes limited range of currencies) hedge - where a contract is
agreed to exchange currencies at a fixed time in the future at a predetermined
rate, so the risk of foreign exchange variation is removed
-
Money market hedge – borrowing money in the
money markets
-
Currency options – a
contract that grants the holder the right to buy or sell currency at a
specified exchange rate during a specified period of time. For this right, a
premium is paid to the broker
-
Currency futures - to exchange one currency for
another at a specified date in the future at a price (exchange rate) that is fixed on the purchase date
-
Currency swaps - exchange of principal and interest in one
currency for the same in another currency
-
Do nothing and take the risk, hoping that the
foreign exchange rate movements work favourably or that the profits and losses
balance out.
Finally,
what are the reasons and benefits of hedging? It ensures availability of funds
for investment opportunities, lessens the cost of financial distress, reduces
incentives to under invest, lowers manager’s risk and reduces the costs to
adjust capital structure.
However, to begin to hedge may incur costs and if hedging activities are not managed well, it can bring losses. Therefore if a company is big, secure and strong enough to handle the volatility of markets, there may not be a need to hedge and so choose the option of doing nothing and taking the risks as failed hedges can be even more costly. For example, in 2012 JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the US, has lost $US2 billion ($1.99 billion) in a failed hedging strategy, a disclosure that hit financial stocks and the reputation of the bank and its prominent CEO, Jamie Dimon. The bank's shares fell 5 per cent after the closing bell, and other financial shares also fell sharply. Citigroup was down 2.4 per cent and Bank of America was down 1.7 per cent. They recognised that the portfolio proved to be riskier, more volatile and less effective as an economic hedge than they thought.
However, to begin to hedge may incur costs and if hedging activities are not managed well, it can bring losses. Therefore if a company is big, secure and strong enough to handle the volatility of markets, there may not be a need to hedge and so choose the option of doing nothing and taking the risks as failed hedges can be even more costly. For example, in 2012 JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the US, has lost $US2 billion ($1.99 billion) in a failed hedging strategy, a disclosure that hit financial stocks and the reputation of the bank and its prominent CEO, Jamie Dimon. The bank's shares fell 5 per cent after the closing bell, and other financial shares also fell sharply. Citigroup was down 2.4 per cent and Bank of America was down 1.7 per cent. They recognised that the portfolio proved to be riskier, more volatile and less effective as an economic hedge than they thought.
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